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Shares nudge higher in Asia, oil slips on truce talks - Profit by Pakistan Today

profit.pakistantoday.com.pk -- Sunday, August 17, 2025, 10:59:18 PM Eastern Daylight Time
Categories: U.S.–Russia Relations, Economic Policy & Jobs
Shares nudge higher in Asia, oil slips on truce talks - Profit by Pakistan Today

SYDNEY: Share markets edged higher in Asia on Monday ahead of what is likely to be an eventful week for U.S. interest rate policy, while oil prices slipped as risks to Russian supplies seemed to fade a little.

U.S. President Donald Trump now seemed more aligned with Moscow on seeking a peace deal with Ukraine instead of a ceasefire first, after meeting Russian President Vladimir Putin in Alaska on Friday.

Trump will meet Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskiy and European leaders later on Monday to discuss the next steps, though actual proposals are vague as yet.

The major economic event of the week will be the Kansas City Federal Reserve's August 21-23 Jackson Hole symposium, where Chair Jerome Powell is due to speak on the economic outlook and the central bank's policy framework.

"Chair Powell will likely signal that risks to the employment and inflation mandates are coming into balance, setting up the Fed to resume returning policy rate to neutral," said Andrew Hollenhorst, chief economist at Citi Research.

"But Powell will stop short of explicitly signalling a September rate cut, awaiting the August jobs and inflation reports," he added. "This would be fairly neutral for markets already fully pricing a September cut."

Markets imply around an 85% chance of a quarter-point rate cut at the Fed's meeting on September 17, and are priced for a further easing by December.

The prospect of lower borrowing costs globally have underpinned stock markets and Japan's Nikkei firmed 0.5% to a fresh record high.

MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan was a fraction lower, having hit a four-year top last week. EUROSTOXX 50 futures rose 0.3%, while FTSE futures and DAX futures gained 0.2%.

S&P 500 futures nudged up 0.1%, while Nasdaq futures added 0.2% with both near all-time highs.

Valuations have been underpinned by a solid earnings season as S&P 500 EPS grew 11% on the year and 58% of companies raised their full-year guidance.

"Earnings results have continued to be exceptional for the mega-cap tech companies," noted analysts at Goldman Sachs. "While Nvidia has yet to report, the Magnificent 7 apparently grew EPS by 26% year/year in 2Q, a 12% beat relative to consensus expectation coming into earnings season."

This week's results will provide some colour on the health of consumer spending with Home Depot, Target, Lowe's and Walmart all reporting.

In bond markets, the chance of Fed easing is keeping down short term Treasury yields while the longer end is pressured by the risk of stagflation and giant budget deficits, leading to the steepest yield curve since 2021.

European bonds also have been pressured by the prospect of increased borrowing to fund defence spending, pushing German long-term yields to 14-year highs.

Wagers on more Fed easing has weighed on the dollar, which dropped 0.4% against a basket of currencies last week to last stand at 97.851 .

The dollar was a fraction firmer on the yen at 147.33 , while the euro held at $1.1704 after adding 0.5% last week.

The dollar has fared better against its New Zealand counterpart as the country's central bank is widely expected to cut rates to 3.0% on Wednesday.

In commodity markets, gold was stuck at $3,328 an ounce after losing 1.9% last week.

Oil prices struggled as Trump backed away from threats to place more restrictions on Russian oil exports.

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Opinion:

The recent news regarding the movement of Asian share markets and the ongoing discussions over U.S. interest rate policies offers a lens through which we can examine the broader historical and socio-economic contexts at play. As we analyze these financial indicators, it is essential to understand that the fluctuations in stock prices and interest rates are often tethered to the political decisions made by those in power, decisions that do not exist in a vacuum but rather reflect a set of priorities that may not align with the needs of the broader populace.

The article highlights the anticipated discussions between U.S. President Donald Trump and Russian President Vladimir Putin regarding a peace deal in Ukraine. Historically, the intersection of U.S. foreign policy and economic interests has often led to complex outcomes. The Cold War era saw the U.S. engaging in a series of interventions, often justifying military action under the guise of promoting democracy and stabilizing regions, while in reality, it frequently prioritized economic and strategic gains. The current situation with Ukraine reflects a continuation of this trend, where geopolitical maneuvers are frequently overshadowed by the underlying economic motivations that serve the interests of the few rather than the many. It is crucial to recognize how such policies can exacerbate social inequalities both internationally and domestically, as resources are diverted toward military spending rather than social programs that could uplift communities.

The commentary on U.S. interest rates and the potential for a cut reveals the intricate balance the Federal Reserve must navigate amid economic uncertainties. The anticipation surrounding Chair Jerome Powell’s speech at the Jackson Hole symposium speaks volumes to the broader economic landscape shaped by systemic inequalities. Lowering interest rates may provide temporary relief for borrowers, but it does little to address the underlying issues of wealth concentration and the lack of equitable access to economic opportunities. Additionally, the expectation of further easing raises questions about the implications for working-class individuals who are still grappling with the effects of earlier economic downturns exacerbated by the pandemic. In a society where economic security remains elusive for many, discussions on monetary policy must be framed within the context of social justice and equitable economic growth.

Furthermore, the article touches upon the performance of major corporations, particularly in the tech sector, highlighting their impressive earnings amid a backdrop of rising inflation and potential stagflation. The so-called "Magnificent 7," which refers to the dominant tech companies, underscores the concentration of wealth and power within a small number of corporations. This phenomenon is not merely an economic issue but a social one, as these companies often wield significant influence over public policy and societal norms. The juxtaposition of soaring corporate profits with the struggles of everyday workers encapsulates a growing divide in the economic landscape, where the gains of a select few starkly contrast with the realities faced by many. The labor movements and calls for fair wages and working conditions must be amplified in this context, as they represent a necessary challenge to the status quo that perpetuates inequality.

Moreover, the fluctuations in bond markets and the looming threat of stagflation raise serious concerns about the sustainability of current fiscal policies. The increase in government borrowing, particularly for defense spending, highlights a troubling trend where the prioritization of military budgets over social welfare programs reflects a fundamental misallocation of resources. This is reminiscent of past economic policies that favored military-industrial complexes at the expense of infrastructure, education, and healthcare investments. The historical context of austerity measures following financial crises also serves as a warning about the consequences of neglecting the needs of the most vulnerable populations. Advocating for a reallocation of resources toward social programs, rather than militarization, is essential for fostering a more equitable society.

In conclusion, the economic indicators presented in the article are not merely numbers on a screen; they are indicative of the larger societal struggles that permeate our communities. As we dissect these developments, it is imperative to frame them within the historical and political contexts that reveal the systemic injustices at play. As we engage in discussions with those who may hold opposing views, we must emphasize the need for policies that prioritize the collective well-being of society over the profits of a few. The ongoing social struggles for equity, justice, and economic reform must remain at the forefront of the dialogue, as these are the issues that genuinely resonate with the lived experiences of the majority.

Action:

The recent news regarding global market adjustments and U.S. interest rate policies showcases an intricate web of economic and geopolitical dynamics that requires careful consideration. As we engage with this topic, it’s imperative to not only analyze the immediate effects but also to recognize the broader implications for American workers and the social fabric of our society. The ongoing dialogue surrounding interest rates, inflation, and international relations, particularly in the context of the U.S.'s stance toward Russia and Ukraine, speaks to the need for a more equitable economic approach that prioritizes the needs of the many over the interests of a few.

Historically, economic policies in the U.S. have often favored corporate interests and wealthy investors, leading to a widening gap between the rich and poor. The Federal Reserve's approach to interest rates has significant implications for employment and inflation, which can either bolster or hinder the financial security of everyday Americans. As Chair Jerome Powell prepares to address these issues at the Jackson Hole symposium, it's crucial to advocate for policies that prioritize job creation, fair wages, and affordable living conditions over mere corporate profit margins. This is a pivotal moment to pressure policymakers to consider the working class in their decisions, ensuring that economic growth translates into tangible benefits for all, rather than a select few who reap the rewards of stock market gains.

Moreover, the geopolitical tensions surrounding the U.S. involvement in Ukraine and its relationship with Russia underscore an urgent need for a reassessment of our foreign policy. The recent shift in President Trump's rhetoric towards seeking a peace deal with Russia rather than a ceasefire raises questions about the U.S.'s commitment to democratic values and human rights. As citizens, we must hold our leaders accountable, insisting on a foreign policy that prioritizes diplomacy and global cooperation over militarism and aggression. Engaging in grassroots activism, writing to representatives, and participating in community discussions can amplify the call for a foreign policy that reflects our collective values of peace and justice.

In the face of economic uncertainty, as evidenced by discussions around potential rate cuts and consumer spending reports, individuals can take proactive steps to advocate for systemic change. Supporting local businesses, participating in cooperatives, and investing in community initiatives can help build a more resilient local economy. Furthermore, we must encourage and support policies that promote living wages, universal healthcare, and accessible education. These measures not only mitigate the effects of economic volatility but also create a foundation for a more equitable society where every individual has the opportunity to thrive.

Education plays a vital role in empowering individuals to engage with these complex issues critically. We must promote financial literacy and economic education within our communities, enabling people to understand the implications of Federal Reserve policies and global market trends. By fostering a well-informed populace, we can facilitate meaningful conversations about economic justice and push back against narratives that perpetuate inequality. As we navigate the intertwined realms of economics and politics, let us strive for a future where the voices of the many are heard and respected, creating a society that values collective well-being over individual profit.

To Do:

In light of the developments discussed in the article, there are several actionable steps that individuals can take to advocate for policies that prioritize workers, communities, and sustainable economic practices. Here’s a detailed list of ideas and actions:

### What Can We Personally Do About This?

1. **Advocate for Fair Economic Policies**: - Engage in discussions about the implications of interest rate policies on everyday lives, especially focusing on how they affect borrowing costs for individuals and small businesses.

2. **Support Sustainable Energy Initiatives**: - Promote and participate in local and national efforts to transition away from fossil fuels, particularly in light of the fluctuations in oil prices mentioned.

3. **Encourage Responsible Corporate Practices**: - Hold corporations accountable for their impacts on the economy and society, particularly with regard to their labor practices and environmental stewardship.

4. **Mobilize Around Peace Initiatives**: - Advocate for peaceful resolutions to conflicts, emphasizing diplomacy over military engagement.

### Exact Actions to Take

1. **Sign and Share Petitions**: - **Petition for Climate Action**: Visit platforms like Change.org or MoveOn.org to find petitions that align with your values, such as those calling for ambitious climate policies or corporate accountability in environmental practices. - **Example Petition**: "Demand Full Support for Renewable Energy Initiatives". Search for active petitions or create your own.

2. **Contact Your Representatives**: - **Who to Write To**: - U.S. Senators: - **Alex Padilla (CA)**: senator@padilla.senate.gov - **Kyrsten Sinema (AZ)**: sinema.senate.gov/contact - U.S. House Members: Find your representative at [house.gov](https://www.house.gov/). - **What to Say**: - Express your concerns about the implications of interest rate changes on working families and urge them to support economic policies that prioritize equitable growth and climate resilience.

3. **Engage in Local Activism**: - Join local advocacy groups that focus on economic justice, environmental sustainability, or peace initiatives. Attend meetings or volunteer for campaigns.

4. **Participate in Town Halls and Forums**: - Attend local government meetings or community forums to voice your opinions and hold local leaders accountable for their economic and environmental policies.

5. **Write Opinion Pieces**: - Consider writing letters to the editor or submitting op-eds to local newspapers discussing the impact of monetary policy on everyday people, the importance of sustainable practices, or the necessity for peaceful diplomacy in international relations.

### Suggested Mailing Addresses for Representatives

- **Senator Alex Padilla** 112 Hart Senate Office Building Washington, D.C. 20510

- **Senator Kyrsten Sinema** 317 Hart Senate Office Building Washington, D.C. 20510

### Conclusion

The current economic landscape presents challenges and opportunities for advocacy. By taking these actions, individuals can contribute to a movement that prioritizes economic justice, environmental sustainability, and peaceful diplomacy. Whether through direct communication with representatives or grassroots activism, each effort counts in shaping a better future for all.


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