Pew Reports Trump's Approval Rating Drops to 38 Percent
mishtalk.com -- Sunday, August 17, 2025, 1:27:15 PM Eastern Daylight Time
Categories: Economic Policy & Jobs, Public Opinion & Polling, Presidential Campaigns

Trump's support, even among Republicans is dropping. But does it matter?
More Opposition than Support
Pew reports Trump's Tariffs and 'One Big Beautiful Bill' Face More Opposition Than Support
Six months into his second term, public evaluations of President Donald Trump's job performance have grown more negative. His job approval stands at 38% (60% disapprove), and fewer Americans now attribute several positive personal characteristics to him than did so during the campaign.
That one is interesting because of the partisan breakdown.
Only 55 percent of Republicans or those who lean Republican think Trump is making the federal government work better.
70 Percent Disapprove of Trump's Epstein Handling
I wonder to what extent Epstein, Israel, and Ukraine collectively account for Trump's 10 percentage point drop in the lead chart.
One Big Beautiful Bill Act
The partisan divide is also interesting on this one. Only 21 percent of Rep/Lean Rep strongly approve of the OBBBA. However 61 percent of Dem/Lean Dem strongly disapprove.
Only 40 percent of Rep/Lean Rep are mostly positive about tariffs.
Expected Results
Trump is sure to denounce the poll as a fraud, but it makes sense to me.
There is a lot of dissent over Epstein, Tariffs, and the OBBBA that barely passed Congress.
The only thing mildly unexpected is how many Republicans are sitting on the fence.
Does Any of This Matter?
That's the real question, and the answer is uncertain.
The incumbent party normally loses seats in midterms. So who will be more energized?
Democrats keep attacking the wrong stuff and have not even backed down on woke nonsense despite overwhelming bipartisan support to do so.
Gerrymandering wars are on, and arguably Republicans have a better shot at success.
Trump's Hyperbolic Nonsense
Truth Social Link
Tariffs are having a huge positive impact on the Stock Market. Almost every day, new records are set. In addition, Hundreds of Billions of Dollars are pouring into our Country's coffers. If a Radical Left Court ruled against us at this late date, in an attempt to bring down or disturb the largest amount of money, wealth creation and influence the U.S.A. has ever seen, it would be impossible to ever recover, or pay back, these massive sums of money and honor. It would be 1929 all over again, a GREAT DEPRESSION! If they were going to rule against the wealth, strength, and power of America, they should have done so LONG AGO, at the beginning of the case, where our entire Country, while never having a chance at this kind of GREATNESS again, would not have been put in 1929 style jeopardy. There is no way America could recover from such a judicial tragedy, but I know our Court System better than anyone, there is no one in history that has gone through the trials, tribulations and uncertainties such as I, and absolutely terrible, but also amazingly beautiful, things can happen. Our Country deserves SUCCESS AND GREATNESS, NOT TURMOIL, FAILURE, AND DISGRACE. GOD BLESS AMERICA!
So, we collect tariffs from US businesses and consumers, and it would be impossible to pay them back.
Yet, Trump says he's considering rebate checks for Americans based on tariff revenue
Somehow it would be impossible to pay back $300 billion out of a budget of $7 trillion. Yet, possible to send out rebate checks of some of that money.
The Midterm Election Determining Factors
This will come down to is jobs, inflation, and recession. Epstein, Russia, and Israel are on the far back burner unless a big war breaks out.
For now, the economy is in a muddle-through mode. But big court decisions are coming up on reciprocal tariffs and birthright citizenship.
I have 95 percent confidence Trump will lose reciprocal tariffs in the Appeals Court. I have less confidence if the Supreme Court reviews the decision (although it's logically clear Trump should lose).
Meanwhile, the strong likelihood is jobs are weakening much faster than the BLS says. This is what happens at economic turns. And jobs is another area where Trump has overpromised and underdelivered.
Untangle the above mess with confidence, and you have your midterm answer. The polls are too early to tell.
Related Posts
May 28, 2025: Court of International Trade Strikes Down Trump's Liberation Day Tariffs
This is an enormous ruling. 5 Reasons the court is correct.
My U1 (15-weeks unemployment recession indicator) is very elevated.
The Big Irony
Trump says we will have a depression if the courts reverse him. The opposite is more likely.
Trump would be the biggest beneficiary if the courts reverse reciprocal tariffs, at least in terms of staving off recession.
Inflation might be another matter. I have not seen anyone else discuss this.
Sign Our PetitionThe recent Pew Research report highlighting President Trump’s declining approval rating serves as a critical reflection point on the state of American politics and the socio-political landscape. With only 38% of Americans approving of his job performance, Trump's waning support among his own party members raises fundamental questions about the viability of his governance model and the implications of his policies. This phenomenon is not merely a symptom of discontent but rather a reflection of deeper historical and social struggles that resonate with a significant portion of the populace.
Historically, the credibility of a political leader has been directly tied to their ability to resonate with the electorate, particularly in times of crisis or upheaval. Trump's presidency has been characterized by a series of controversial policies, including his handling of tariffs and the so-called "One Big Beautiful Bill" (OBBBA), which has faced considerable opposition. The fact that a mere 21% of Republicans strongly support the OBBBA indicates a fracture within the party that could have lasting impacts on electoral dynamics. This dissatisfaction is compounded by discontent surrounding issues like the Epstein case, which raises pertinent questions about accountability and justice—issues that have long been central to progressive agendas and are now becoming points of contention even among Trump’s base.
Moreover, the current political climate reflects ongoing social struggles that cannot be ignored. The disapproval of Trump’s tariffs, for instance, is emblematic of broader economic tensions that affect everyday Americans. Tariffs, while often pitched as a means to bolster domestic industries, disproportionately impact working-class citizens by increasing the cost of goods. This aligns with a historical trend where economic policies disproportionately favor the wealthier segments of society at the expense of the working class. As such, it is imperative to draw connections between these economic policies and the lived experiences of working Americans, who often bear the brunt of such decisions.
The implications of Trump’s declining approval ratings extend beyond mere statistics; they signal a potential shift in voter mobilization ahead of the midterms. The notion that "the incumbent party typically loses seats in midterms" is a historical observation that underscores the importance of voter engagement and turnout. However, the energy around Democratic opposition remains mixed. The suggestion that Democrats are attacking the “wrong stuff” reflects a broader criticism that their messaging may not adequately address the concerns of the electorate. This is particularly important in a landscape where grassroots movements have emerged, advocating for systemic change and justice across various social issues including economic inequality, racial and gender equity, and environmental justice.
Finally, as we engage with these discussions, it is crucial to emphasize the importance of historical context in shaping our understanding of current events. The hyperbolic narratives surrounding economic success, such as Trump’s claims of unprecedented wealth creation, require scrutiny. Historically, economic booms often mask underlying structural inequalities that persist in society. The Great Depression serves as a stark reminder of the fragility of economic systems, and the rhetoric suggesting that any judicial decisions against current policies could lead to such a disaster reflects an attempt to divert attention from accountability. It is essential to advocate for a political conversation grounded in facts and historical context, recognizing that the true measure of success lies not just in economic indicators, but in the equitable distribution of wealth and opportunities for all citizens.
In summary, the current political discourse surrounding Trump’s approval ratings and the bipartisan criticisms of his policies provide a rich tapestry for discussion that extends beyond partisan lines. By drawing on historical precedents, understanding the socio-economic implications of policies, and recognizing the importance of civic engagement, we can foster a more informed and nuanced conversation about the future of American governance. As political analysts and concerned citizens, it is our responsibility to elevate these discussions, ensuring that the voices of those who have historically been marginalized are heard and addressed in the ongoing struggle for justice and equity.
The recent Pew Research report revealing a significant drop in President Trump's approval rating to 38% is a signal not only of a shifting political landscape but also of deeper societal discontent that has been building for years. With a disapproval rating soaring to 60%, it is clear that a considerable portion of the American populace is becoming increasingly disillusioned with Trump's leadership. This decline is particularly pronounced among Republicans, with only 55% expressing confidence that he is effectively improving the federal government. This erosion of support among traditionally loyal constituents raises critical questions about the sustainability of Trump’s political agenda, especially as we approach the next midterm elections. It serves as a reminder that, in a democracy, public sentiment can shift dramatically, especially when leadership fails to deliver on its promises or when scandals arise.
Historically, Trump's presidency has been marked by a series of controversies—ranging from his handling of foreign policy issues like Epstein, Israel, and Ukraine to domestic policies such as tariffs and the so-called "One Big Beautiful Bill." These issues have not only polarized the electorate but have also sparked significant dissent even within party lines. The report reveals that only 21% of Republicans strongly approve of the One Big Beautiful Bill Act, while a staggering 61% of Democrats disapprove of it. This partisan division underscores the complexities of contemporary American politics, where loyalty to party often clashes with individual policy preferences. It is vital for political observers to understand that such divisions can create opportunities for dialogue and coalition-building across the aisle, particularly on issues that resonate with everyday Americans, such as economic stability and social justice.
Given the current political climate, the question arises: what actions can concerned citizens take to galvanize support for progressive change? First and foremost, grassroots mobilization is essential. Citizens can engage in local organizing efforts, participate in town halls, and advocate for policy changes that prioritize the needs of marginalized communities. This includes pushing for transparency in government dealings, holding elected officials accountable, and amplifying the voices of those disproportionately affected by the Trump administration's policies. By fostering a culture of civic engagement, we can create a more informed electorate that demands better from its leaders—allowing us to challenge the narratives that often dominate mainstream discourse.
Furthermore, understanding the mechanics of gerrymandering and its implications for electoral equity is crucial. As the article suggests, Republicans may have a strategic advantage in the upcoming elections, exacerbated by the partisan manipulation of district boundaries. Advocacy for independent redistricting commissions can mitigate the impact of gerrymandering and ensure fair representation. By promoting policies that enhance electoral integrity and accessibility, citizens can work to dismantle systemic barriers that undermine democratic participation. Encouraging voter registration drives and supporting initiatives that expand access to the ballot can empower communities and help to counter the influence of entrenched political interests.
Finally, it is important for individuals to educate themselves and others about the broader economic implications of Trump’s policies, particularly those related to tariffs. The stock market's recent performance—a point Trump often touts—should not be viewed in isolation. It is critical to engage in discussions about who truly benefits from such economic policies and at what cost. Are these tariffs creating sustainable jobs, or merely inflating stock prices while undermining consumer purchasing power? By fostering informed discussions around these issues, citizens can challenge reductionist narratives that paint a rosy picture of economic success while ignoring the struggles faced by working-class Americans.
In conclusion, as we navigate this tumultuous political landscape, it is imperative for citizens to remain engaged, informed, and proactive. The falling approval ratings for Trump may signal a turning point, but whether this translates into meaningful change depends largely on our collective ability to organize, advocate, and hold our leaders accountable. Engaging in thoughtful discourse, promoting electoral equity, and challenging economic narratives that fail to serve the broader population are essential steps toward building a more just and equitable society. The stakes are high, and it is our responsibility as engaged citizens to ensure that our democracy reflects the values we hold dear.
In light of the recent Pew report on Trump's approval ratings and public sentiment surrounding his policies, particularly regarding tariffs and the controversial "One Big Beautiful Bill Act," there are several actions we, as concerned citizens, can take to engage with these issues actively. Here’s a comprehensive list of ideas and actions:
### Personal Actions to Take
1. **Stay Informed and Educate Others**: - Share factual information about how Trump's policies are impacting the economy and society. Utilize social media, community forums, and local gatherings to discuss these issues. - **Example**: Organize a local discussion group or book club focusing on political topics, such as economic policy, healthcare, or social justice.
2. **Engage in Local Politics**: - Attend town hall meetings to express your concerns about local and national issues influenced by federal policy. - **Example**: Find your next town hall meeting on a local government website or community bulletin board.
3. **Support Progressive Candidates**: - Volunteer for or donate to candidates who align with your values and work towards policies that counteract those of Trump. - **Example**: Look for local candidates running for office in your area through platforms like ActBlue or local party websites.
### Specific Actions - Petitions and Contacting Officials
1. **Sign and Share Petitions**: - **Petition for Economic Justice**: Create or support petitions aimed at equitable tax policies or opposing harmful tariffs. Websites like Change.org or MoveOn.org often host active petitions. - **Example**: Start a petition that advocates for increased transparency in government spending related to tariffs.
2. **Contact Your Representatives**: - Write to your congressional representatives to express your views on Trump's policies. You can find their contact information on [congress.gov](https://www.congress.gov/members?q=%7B%22congress%22%3A117%7D). - **Example**: - **Senator Elizabeth Warren** - Email: https://www.warren.senate.gov/contact - Mailing Address: 2400 JFK Federal Building, 15 New Sudbury St., Boston, MA 02203 - **Representative Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez** - Email: https://ocasiocortez.house.gov/contact - Mailing Address: 300 East 150th Street, 10th Floor, Bronx, NY 10451
3. **What to Say in Your Correspondence**: - Express your disapproval of policies that negatively impact American workers, the economy, and social justice. - Sample Message: "I am deeply concerned about the economic implications of the current tariffs and the One Big Beautiful Bill Act. I urge you to prioritize policies that promote economic equity and support the working class. Transparency and accountability in government spending are essential for fostering trust and stability in our economy."
4. **Participate in Local Activism**: - Join local advocacy groups or coalitions that focus on economic justice, healthcare reform, or civil rights. - **Example**: Search for local chapters of organizations like the Democratic Socialists of America (DSA) or Our Revolution.
5. **Utilize Social Media for Activism**: - Use platforms like Twitter, Facebook, or Instagram to raise awareness about important issues and mobilize others to take action. - **Example**: Start a hashtag campaign that addresses a specific policy concern, encouraging others to share their stories and opinions.
### Conclusion
By actively engaging with our political system, raising awareness, and advocating for change, we can influence the discourse surrounding Trump’s policies and work towards a future that prioritizes equitable and just governance. Each of us can play a role in shaping our community and ensuring that our voices are heard in the ongoing political conversation.