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Bitcoin Volatility Poised for Growth Amid CPI Data and Debates | ForkLog

forklog.com -- Sunday, August 17, 2025, 1:55:05 AM Eastern Daylight Time
Categories: Economic Policy & Jobs, U.S.–Russia Relations, Presidential Campaigns
Bitcoin Volatility Poised for Growth Amid CPI Data and Debates | ForkLog

Implied volatilities of bitcoin options remain elevated. Traders anticipate significant price swings in light of the Trump-Harris debates and consumer inflation (CPI) data, according to QCP Capital.

The events are scheduled for September 11 at 4:00 and 15:30 (Kyiv/Moscow).

Experts noted that until October, options market participants tend to take predominantly bearish positions. Optimists are forming longs targeting March 2025. Analysts recorded large purchases in calls with strikes at $85,000, $100,000, and $120,000.

Experts also observed a rise in bullish bets with December expiration following bitcoin's rebound from $52,500.

Kaiko questioned whether the anticipated reduction in the key rate by the Fed would benefit risky assets.

Analysts agreed with their colleagues at QCP regarding the prospects of significant price fluctuations in September, citing an increase in bitcoin's historical volatility (30 DMA) to 70%. The figure is close to the March peak when quotes reached a new ATH, and seasonally it has always been lower at this time of year.

IV in contracts maturing on September 13 jumped from 52% to 61%, exceeding the values of options at the end of the month.

Typically, when short-term implied volatility exceeds long-term metrics, it indicates increased market tension and serves as a signal to reduce risk in positions, specialists reminded.

By the end of the year, bitcoin could reach $90,000 if Donald Trump wins the US presidential election or fall to $30,000 if Kamala Harris becomes the next head of the White House, according to Bernstein.

Earlier, analyst and MN Trading founder Michaël van de Poppe predicted "final corrections" before a bull run.

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Opinion:

The recent fluctuations in Bitcoin's implied volatility, as reported by ForkLog, highlight a larger trend in the intersection of cryptocurrency markets and political events, particularly in the context of the upcoming presidential debates and consumer inflation data. This volatility is not merely a financial phenomenon; it is emblematic of the broader societal and economic struggles we face today. The implications of Bitcoin's price movements are deep-rooted in issues of economic inequality, corporate control, and the future of financial autonomy—issues that remain central to contemporary discourse.

Historically, Bitcoin emerged as a response to the 2008 financial crisis, a crisis that exposed the vulnerabilities of traditional banking systems and the detrimental impact of financialization on ordinary people. The cryptocurrency was pitched as a decentralized alternative, one that could empower individuals by removing the gatekeepers of financial institutions. However, as Bitcoin matures, it is increasingly influenced by the same political and economic forces that it once sought to escape. The volatility noted in the article, driven by events such as the Trump-Harris debates, underscores how intertwined cryptocurrency markets have become with the political landscape. It raises questions about the extent to which financial autonomy can exist in a system heavily swayed by political outcomes and corporate interests.

The anticipation of Bitcoin's price swings in response to the political climate is particularly concerning when viewed through the lens of social justice. The potential for significant price fluctuations—predicted to land between $30,000 and $90,000 based on the election outcomes—has far-reaching implications for everyday investors. The volatility tends to disproportionately affect those who lack substantial financial resources, as they may not have the capacity to navigate risky investments. Furthermore, this dynamic can exacerbate existing inequalities, where the wealthy can afford to speculate and recoup losses, while lower-income individuals may face severe financial repercussions from ill-timed investments. As we advocate for social equity, it is crucial to recognize how the financial market's volatility can reinforce systemic disparities.

Moreover, the article’s reference to the Federal Reserve’s potential interest rate cuts as a catalyst for risky asset appreciation invites a broader discussion on monetary policy and its socio-economic impacts. While proponents of such measures argue that they stimulate economic growth, the benefits often fail to reach those who are most in need. Historically, monetary policy has favored the wealthy, as low interest rates boost asset prices, disproportionately benefiting those who already have wealth invested in financial markets. As Bitcoin becomes increasingly tethered to these monetary policies, it is essential to question who truly benefits from these financial systems. We must consider the implications for workers, marginalized communities, and those seeking economic justice.

Furthermore, the rise of Bitcoin as an asset class also invites scrutiny concerning its environmental impact. The energy-intensive process of Bitcoin mining has significant ecological consequences, which are often overlooked in discussions of its financial merits. As climate change exacerbates social inequalities, the cryptocurrency industry must confront its carbon footprint. Advocating for sustainable practices within the cryptocurrency sector is not just an environmental issue; it is a social justice imperative. The movement for greener technologies must intersect with the discourse on financial equity, ensuring that the solutions we pursue do not come at the expense of our planet or vulnerable communities.

In conclusion, the ongoing volatility of Bitcoin is a complex interplay of political, economic, and social factors that reflect larger structural issues within our society. As we engage in discussions about cryptocurrency and its future, it is essential to remain aware of the historical context and the real-world implications of these financial markets. Advocating for a more equitable financial system requires us to critically analyze who benefits from current trends and to push for policies that prioritize justice and sustainability. In doing so, we can ensure that the potential for financial autonomy and empowerment is accessible to all, rather than a privilege reserved for the few.

Action:

The current landscape of Bitcoin trading, as detailed in the article, reflects not just the volatility of cryptocurrency markets but also the intertwining of economic policy and political events in shaping financial realities. The looming debates between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris, along with fluctuating consumer inflation data, create a charged environment for Bitcoin traders. With traders anticipating significant price swings, this moment offers a crucial opportunity for Americans to engage with the broader implications of such volatility—both in financial markets and in the sociopolitical realm.

Historically, Bitcoin has often been seen as a hedge against inflation and a counter to traditional fiat currencies influenced by governmental policies. Yet, the current situation reveals the precarious nature of this digital asset, where its value is significantly influenced by external political factors. The anticipation of a potential Trump presidency links Bitcoin's future to a specific political outcome, suggesting that the cryptocurrency is not merely an apolitical financial tool but rather enmeshed in the broader political discourse. This interdependence between politics and financial assets underscores the necessity for citizens to critically analyze not only economic indicators but also the political narratives that shape them.

As Americans, we can seize this moment to engage in meaningful conversations about the implications of such volatility. It is essential to question why Bitcoin, a decentralized currency, becomes so vulnerable to the political machinations of traditional power structures. We can initiate discussions that illuminate the systemic inequalities perpetuated by both cryptocurrency speculation and traditional economic policies. By framing Bitcoin as a reflection of broader socioeconomic dynamics, we can encourage a more informed discourse around financial literacy and the democratization of economic power.

Moreover, we can advocate for regulatory measures that protect consumers and ensure that cryptocurrency markets operate transparently and equitably. Historical precedents remind us that unregulated markets often lead to exploitation and crises, disproportionately affecting marginalized communities. Discussions with right-leaning individuals can focus on the necessity of a balanced approach—one that fosters innovation while safeguarding against the risks that come with unrestrained speculation. In this light, we can emphasize the importance of responsible governance that prioritizes the well-being of the populace over unbridled market forces.

Finally, we must harness the educational opportunities presented by this volatile Bitcoin landscape to foster a more comprehensive understanding of economics among our peers. Encouraging financial literacy initiatives, community workshops, and engagement with local representatives about the implications of cryptocurrency can empower individuals to take control of their financial futures. By fostering an environment where dialogue about cryptocurrency and its political entanglements is encouraged, we can cultivate a more informed citizenry ready to engage critically with both market dynamics and the political structures that influence them.

In conclusion, the current volatility of Bitcoin linked to impending political events presents a unique opportunity for Americans to reflect on the intersection of economics and politics. By engaging in thoughtful conversations, advocating for responsible regulation, and promoting financial literacy, we can create a more just economic landscape that serves the interests of all citizens, rather than a select few. It is imperative that we leverage this moment to challenge the status quo and push for systemic change that promotes equity and accountability in our financial systems.

To Do:

The volatility surrounding Bitcoin and its potential implications raises important considerations for individuals who are concerned about economic justice, financial stability, and the future of our communities. Here are some actionable steps we can take in response to the trends and risks highlighted in the article:

### Personal Actions to Consider

1. **Educate Yourself and Others**: - Understanding the implications of cryptocurrencies, particularly in terms of market volatility and potential manipulation, is crucial. Host or attend community workshops or discussion groups focused on financial literacy and the impact of speculative investments on local economies.

2. **Advocate for Regulation**: - Engage in advocacy for stronger regulations on cryptocurrencies to protect consumers and prevent market manipulation. This can include supporting transparent practices and making sure that investments serve the broader public interest. - **Action**: Write to your local representatives advocating for cryptocurrency regulations. Use the following template: - **Subject**: Support for Cryptocurrency Regulation - **Message**: “Dear [Representative's Name], I urge you to support legislation that ensures the regulation of cryptocurrency markets. The volatility and risks associated with cryptocurrencies can have serious repercussions for everyday individuals and our local economies. We need transparency and consumer protection to ensure that these new financial instruments do not undermine financial stability. Thank you for your attention to this important matter.” - **Contact Information**: Look up your representative at [House.gov](https://www.house.gov) or [Senate.gov](https://www.senate.gov) for names and email addresses.

3. **Support Local Economies**: - Shift your focus from volatile investments to supporting local businesses and cooperatives that prioritize community well-being over profit. - **Action**: Participate in local farmers' markets, craft fairs, or co-op events. Engage with organizations like the Local Enterprise Office or similar initiatives.

4. **Sign Petitions**: - Join or initiate petitions calling for responsible crypto practices, transparency in the crypto market, and stronger consumer protections. - **Example Petitions**: Websites like Change.org often have active petitions related to financial regulations. Search for current petitions focused on cryptocurrency regulation and add your name.

5. **Engage in Direct Action**: - Participate in or organize protests or awareness campaigns against unchecked financial speculation that threatens economic stability. - **Action**: Collaborate with local activist groups or financial justice organizations to plan events that raise awareness about the risks of cryptocurrency and advocate for financial reform.

6. **Communicate with Financial Institutions**: - Reach out to banks and financial institutions to express your concerns about their involvement with cryptocurrencies and the implications for consumers. - **Action**: Write letters to bank executives requesting clarity on their policies regarding cryptocurrency investments and their commitment to consumer protection. - **Example**: “Dear [Bank Executive’s Name], I am writing to express my concerns regarding your institution’s involvement with cryptocurrencies. In light of the risks posed to consumers by the inherent volatility of these assets, I urge you to prioritize transparency and consumer protection in your dealings. Thank you for your commitment to responsible financial practices.” - **Find Contact Info**: Look up executive contact information on the bank's official website.

7. **Encourage Sustainable Investment**: - Advocate for and support sustainable and ethical investment options that prioritize environmental and social governance. - **Action**: Research and invest in funds that align with social responsibility, such as community investment funds or ESG-focused mutual funds.

8. **Engage with Your Community**: - Form or join community organizations that focus on economic justice, financial literacy, and consumer rights. - **Action**: Attend town hall meetings or community forums to raise awareness and advocate for policies that protect consumers from speculative financial practices.

By taking these actions, we can collectively work towards creating a more equitable financial landscape that prioritizes the well-being of individuals and communities over the whims of volatile markets.


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