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Donald Trump approval rating: tracking the opinion polls

thetimes.com -- Friday, August 15, 2025, 11:28:01 AM Eastern Daylight Time
Categories: Immigration Policy & Border Issues, Political Protests & Rallies, Economic Policy & Jobs
Donald Trump approval rating: tracking the opinion polls

Immediately after the election, Americans had a slightly more positive view of Trump. Most terms begin with a "honeymoon" period when voters are broadly happy with the president's performance. A sustained dip in approval since Trump began threatening America's trading partners with sweeping tariffs, dismissing warnings that this may lead to recession, suggests that honeymoon period ended within about three months.

At this stage of their presidencies, Barack Obama and Joe Biden held a superior favourability score over Trump, and he is now about level with where Biden was at the end of his four years, according to Gallup.

Economy

The economy was central to Trump's pitch to voters in November last year, but a turbulent start in office led to the public questioning his handling of it. According to YouGov, approval of Trump's economic performance has fallen from plus 12 in January to about minus 12.

Stock market index

How do presidents measure success? For Trump, the performance of big business has always been part of his sell.

The S&P 500, which lists the stock prices of 500 of the largest companies on US exchanges, has had a mixed start under him. In the 12 months before he became president, stock prices had risen by about 24 per cent. Since he entered office for a second time, growth was largely trending in the opposite direction, before significant volatility after his announcement of sweeping tariffs on April 2. Performance has been noticeably better since May.

Overall, the market's performance has been worse than in previous terms and is similar to President Bush's first term, when the dotcom bubble caused markets to collapse in 2000.

Another way of measuring stock market chaos is the Vix, sometimes known as the "fear index", which measures volatility. After Trump's "liberation day", the index rose to levels not seen since the Covid pandemic and the financial crisis. Trump will be pleased that fear in the markets has somewhat stabilised. However, updated tariff rates at the end of July might lead to some market unrest.

Executive orders

In his first few weeks in office, Trump issued more than 50 executive orders, including on "emergency price relief", officially recognising only two genders and ordering the completion of the southern border wall.

Trump has been issuing more orders at a faster pace than any president in living memory.

You can view a full list of them in the table below:

Crypto and the price of bitcoin

Just as prominent in Trump's campaign was his push on cryptocurrencies: he vowed to make the United States the "crypto capital of the planet".

Since taking office he has issued orders that revoke cryptocurrency regulations and has confirmed plans for a US crypto reserve. The price of bitcoin, the most common cryptocurrency, grew enormously towards the end of last year and has remained high.

US inflation

Federal agencies were ordered to deliver "emergency price relief" and other measures to bring down the cost of living. The consumer price index (CPI) measure of annual inflation peaked at 9.1 per cent under Biden in June 2022 but has since fallen and has been stable below 3 per cent since January this year.

Price of eggs in the US

Grocery prices remain much higher than voters have been used to and the price of eggs, pushed upwards by bird flu, has become a key inflationary barometer for consumers. The price in March, $6.23 for a dozen, was a record high but has since fallen. Trump will be judged on whether he can keep reducing the price.

Deportations and immigration

Trump has made tackling illegal immigration a key measure of his presidency, declaring a national emergency on the southern border on his first day in office and ordering the Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) agency to increase deportations.

It produced an immediate effect, coinciding with a sustained reduction in net immigration.

The rush to deport has involved some controversial cases, with several families of men flown to a high-security jail in El Salvador contending that they received no chance to appeal and were mistakenly identified as criminal gang members.

ICE raids also catalysed anti-deportation protests across the country in June, the most incendiary of them in Los Angeles, where one protest escalated into more than a week of violent clashes with the authorities.

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Opinion:

The current political landscape in the United States is a tapestry woven with the threads of economic performance, executive action, and public perception. The recent assessment of Donald Trump's approval ratings presents a crucial moment for understanding the dynamics of power in American politics. Historically, presidents often enjoy a "honeymoon" period characterized by elevated approval ratings as they take office. However, the rapid decline in Trump's approval since the onset of his second term is indicative of broader economic anxieties, reflecting a pattern seen in previous administrations. This commentary delves into the ramifications of these approval ratings, drawing connections to historical contexts and ongoing social struggles.

The turbulence surrounding Trump's economic policies suggests that his initial appeal, largely predicated on economic prowess, is waning. The juxtaposition of Trump's approval ratings with those of Barack Obama and Joe Biden at similar points in their presidencies highlights a critical narrative: the promise of economic stability may be more illusion than reality. Trump's threats to impose sweeping tariffs have stirred fears of recession, a theme reminiscent of the economic turmoil that gripped the nation during the Bush administration when the dot-com bubble burst. The current data from Gallup and YouGov indicates a significant drop in public confidence surrounding Trump's economic management, which can be framed as a reflection of the broader disillusionment with neoliberal economic policies that prioritize corporate interests over the welfare of the working class.

Furthermore, the stock market's erratic performance serves as an additional lens through which to view this administration's economic legacy. While Trump often touted the stock market as a barometer of his success, the reality is far more complex. The S&P 500’s volatility, particularly after the announcement of tariffs, is emblematic of a precarious economic environment that disproportionately affects the average American. The VIX, or "fear index," saw spikes that are not only alarming but indicative of a greater insecurity among investors and, by extension, the everyday citizen. This turmoil serves as a reminder that the health of the stock market does not equate to the well-being of the populace; a lesson that progressive movements have long articulated in their critiques of capitalism.

In examining Trump’s approach to governance, the sheer volume of executive orders issued early in his term is telling. An unprecedented pace of executive action, often bypassing legislative processes, raises questions about democracy and accountability. Notably, these orders included controversial measures such as recognizing only two genders and advancing the completion of the southern border wall. These actions should be analyzed not only as political maneuvering but as part of a broader strategy aimed at consolidating power and appealing to a specific base. The historical context of executive overreach serves as a cautionary tale about the fragility of democratic norms in the face of populism, a concern that resonates strongly within contemporary discussions of governance and civil rights.

The issue of cryptocurrency also serves as a microcosm of the larger economic debates at play. Trump's ambition to position the United States as the "crypto capital of the planet" reflects a significant pivot towards unregulated financial systems, which can be seen as both a progressive step towards innovation and a regressive move that could undermine consumer protections. The volatility of Bitcoin, along with the administration's attempts to revoke regulations, speaks to the uncertainty that characterizes the current economic landscape. Advocates for financial reform often emphasize the need for regulatory frameworks that protect consumers while promoting innovation, highlighting the tension between unbridled capitalism and social responsibility.

In conclusion, the analysis of Donald Trump's approval ratings and the accompanying economic indicators reveals deep-seated issues within the current political climate. The historical context of economic crises, the implications of executive action, and the evolving discourse around cryptocurrency all converge to illustrate the complexities of governance and public perception. As we navigate these turbulent waters, it is essential to connect these contemporary issues with the ongoing struggles for economic justice, civil rights, and democratic accountability. Engaging in these discussions equips us with the tools to challenge prevailing narratives and advocate for a more equitable society that prioritizes the needs of the many over the interests of the few.

Action:

The current political landscape in the United States, particularly under the leadership of Donald Trump, presents a complex tapestry woven from economic indicators, public sentiment, and policy directions. The article highlights significant points concerning Trump's fluctuating approval ratings and the mixed economic performance during his presidency. This moment in history offers a critical lens through which we can analyze the implications of Trump's policies, particularly in the areas of trade, executive power, and economic stability.

Historically, the relationship between a president's approval ratings and their economic performance has been well-documented. Presidents often enjoy a honeymoon phase shortly after taking office, where public perception tends to be more favorable. However, as the article indicates, Trump's approval ratings have plummeted primarily due to his aggressive trade policies, including tariffs that have threatened to destabilize relationships with key trading partners. This approach is reminiscent of past political leaders who leveraged protectionist strategies, often leading to economic turmoil. The historical context reminds us that while protectionist policies may appeal to certain voters, they can lead to broader economic repercussions, including recessions and increased costs for consumers. This is a point that can be emphasized in conversations with those who support Trump's policies, highlighting the potential long-term consequences of short-term gains.

In terms of actionable steps, Americans concerned about the direction of economic policy and its implications can engage in grassroots organizing and advocacy. Educating fellow citizens about the historical impacts of tariffs and trade wars can foster a more informed electorate. Community forums, town hall meetings, and social media campaigns are effective platforms for disseminating information and raising awareness about how aggressive trade policies can lead to job losses and increased prices for everyday goods. By framing these issues in a way that resonates with people's daily experiences, advocates can encourage more critical examinations of policies that seem beneficial on the surface but may have adverse effects.

As the economy has shown signs of instability, with the stock market reflecting volatility akin to previous economic downturns, it is essential to question the metrics by which success is measured. The focus on stock market performance as an indicator of economic health can be misleading. Many Americans do not directly benefit from stock market gains, and the widening wealth gap often persists despite rising stock prices. Engaging individuals in discussions about alternative economic indicators, such as income inequality, employment rates, and wage growth, can help shift the narrative away from the superficial measures often touted by the political right. By emphasizing a more holistic understanding of economic wellbeing, advocates can challenge the prevailing narratives that favor corporate interests over the needs of working families.

Moreover, Trump's use of executive orders offers a focal point for discussions about the power dynamics at play in the U.S. government. The rapid issuance of more than 50 executive orders raises questions about the balance of power and the implications of unilateral decision-making. This can serve as an entry point for discussing the importance of checks and balances and the need for greater legislative oversight. Engaging with constituents on the importance of maintaining democratic principles and advocating for a government that is responsive to the people rather than concentrated in the hands of a single leader is crucial for fostering a more equitable political environment.

In summary, the current political discourse surrounding Trump's presidency offers fertile ground for advocacy and education. By leveraging historical context, emphasizing alternative economic indicators, and questioning the implications of executive power, advocates can foster meaningful discussions with those who may support right-wing policies. These conversations can ultimately steer public sentiment toward a more equitable and just economic landscape, ensuring that the voices of all Americans are represented in policy-making. Through informed dialogue and community engagement, we can work toward a political climate that prioritizes the needs of the many over the interests of the few.

To Do:

Analyzing the article on Donald Trump's approval rating and economic policies reveals several avenues for individuals to take action. Here are some detailed ideas and steps you can personally take to address the issues raised in the article:

### What Can We Personally Do About This?

1. **Educate Yourself and Others:** - Stay informed about economic policies and their impacts on everyday life. Share this information with friends, family, and your community. - Host discussions or book clubs focusing on economic justice, trade policies, and their implications.

2. **Engage in Local Politics:** - Attend town hall meetings or local government sessions to voice your concerns about economic policies and their effects on your community. - Form or join community groups focused on economic advocacy.

3. **Advocate for Fair Trade Policies:** - Support policies that prioritize fair trade and sustainable practices over tariffs that could harm local economies and jobs.

4. **Support Economic Justice Organizations:** - Contribute your time or resources to organizations that advocate for fair economic policies, such as the Economic Policy Institute or the Center for American Progress.

### Exact Actions You Can Personally Take

1. **Petitions:** - **Petition for Fair Trade Practices:** - Sign and share petitions on platforms like Change.org that advocate against harmful tariff policies. Example: “Stop Tariffs on Essential Goods” petition. - **Petition for Economic Relief:** - Look for petitions related to economic relief measures for those affected by job losses or rising costs.

2. **Contact Your Elected Officials:** - **Who to Write To:** - Your Senators and Representatives. Use the following resources to find their contact information: - [House of Representatives Contact Page](https://www.house.gov/representatives/find-your-representative) - [Senate Contact Page](https://www.senate.gov/senators/senators-contact.htm)

- **Example Contacts:** - **Senator Schumer (NY)** - Email: schumer.senate.gov/contact/email-me - Mailing Address: 322 Hart Senate Office Building, Washington, DC 20510 - **Representative Ocasio-Cortez (NY-14)** - Email: ocasio-cortez.house.gov/contact - Mailing Address: 2182 Rayburn House Office Building, Washington, DC 20515

- **What to Say:** - Express your concerns about current economic policies, emphasizing the need for fair trade practices and strategies that prioritize working families over large corporations. - Sample message: "Dear [Official's Name], I am writing to express my concern regarding the recent economic policies under the current administration. I urge you to advocate for fair trade practices and to prioritize the needs of working-class individuals and families. The impacts of tariffs and market volatility are felt deeply in our communities, and it is essential that our policies reflect the values of equity and sustainability."

3. **Raise Awareness on Social Media:** - Share articles, infographics, and your own thoughts on social media to raise awareness about economic issues and encourage discussions among your network.

4. **Participate in Local Economic Initiatives:** - Get involved in local initiatives that focus on economic sustainability, such as supporting local businesses, participating in community-supported agriculture (CSA), or advocating for living wage policies.

5. **Volunteer for Advocacy Groups:** - Offer your skills to organizations that focus on economic justice, such as volunteering for campaigns or helping with outreach efforts to expand their reach.

By taking these actions, you can contribute to a broader movement advocating for economic policies that uplift communities and promote equitable growth.


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