Democrats squint and see chances at a Senate majority
politico.com -- Friday, August 15, 2025, 4:57:40 AM Eastern Daylight Time
Categories: Federal Legislation & Congress, Democratic Party Responses, State Politics & Governors

There are other, rockier potential targets: Perhaps they could finally win Texas, where Republicans are locked in a messy, expensive primary. Or Alaska, where senior Democrats are courting a dynamic former congresswoman. Or maybe, they hope, Iowa could become a purple state again.
There's no doubt that Republicans are still favored to hold onto the Senate after next year's midterms. Democrats need to flip four GOP-held seats while also holding onto states that President Donald Trump won like Michigan and Georgia. Everything would have to go perfectly for them to pull it off -- and this is not an era when things have typically gone perfectly for Democrats.
Still, Democrats are increasingly optimistic after former Sen. Sherrod Brown decided to run for his old seat and former Gov. Roy Cooper launched a bid in North Carolina.
"I'm not going to say we're taking back the Senate right now, but it looks more possible than it ever was," said Rep. Maxwell Frost (D-Fla.). "We're recruiting great candidates and it looks like they're not really doing the same. The map is expanding week by week."
Earlier this year, many Democrats were pessimistic that Brown would run again -- and without him, Ohio was considered hopelessly out of reach. Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer doggedly pursued Brown anyway, repeatedly calling and meeting with him. Brown is expected to officially launch his campaign against Republican Sen. Jon Husted any day now.
Brown, a frumpy populist who won three terms in the Senate even as Ohio grew increasingly redder, lost reelection by fewer than 4 percentage points last year. What makes Democrats nonetheless hopeful is that Brown kept the contest close even as Trump carried the state by 11 percentage points. With Trump in the White House but not on the ballot, they hope, next year's midterm elections will almost certainly be a better political moment for Democrats.
"Unless you believe we're headed into another negative environment for Democrats again, this is almost by definition a toss-up race," said an Ohio Democratic strategist who was granted anonymity to speak frankly about a still-developing race.
Schumer also worked to persuade Cooper, a popular former two-term governor, to run. Cooper broke fundraising records when he announced his Senate bid and is now leading Republican Senate candidate Michael Whatley in early polls.
Schumer's recruitment efforts are reflective of a larger strategy to stake his party's chances in several key states on well-established, older candidates, even as much of the Democratic base hungers for generational change. Along with Cooper, 68, and Brown, 72, Democrats are hoping to lure Maine Gov. Janet Mills, 77, into the race against Republican Sen. Susan Collins, 72.
The Democrats' game plan doubles, in theory, as a way to avoid costly and divisive primaries. Cooper effectively boxed out most of the North Carolina field by keeping the door open to a run, and the sole other Democratic candidate, former Rep. Wiley Nickel, exited the race after Cooper launched his bid. Brown is also expected to clear the field in Ohio.
Nickel told POLITICO his initial decision to run was about "fighting for the best chance to flip North Carolina's Senate seat," but with Cooper getting in, he said the former governor "gives Democrats our best shot to flip this seat."
The success that Senate Democrats have had in luring battle-tested candidates into the arena stands in contrast to Republicans' efforts this cycle.
Georgia Gov. Brian Kemp, widely seen as a strong potential contender to oust Democratic Sen. Jon Ossoff, decided against a run. Former New Hampshire Gov. Chris Sununu similarly opted against a bid for the seat left open by the retirement of Democratic Sen. Jeanne Shaheen, even after winning Trump's support.
Republicans have also lost an incumbent to retirement -- and there could be more.
North Carolina Sen. Thom Tillis announced he was not running for reelection after Trump attacked him for voting against advancing his megabill. In Iowa, Sen. Joni Ernst has not formally announced she is seeking reelection, and the White House saw it necessary to encourage her to try for another term. Collins got her dream job as Senate Appropriations chair only to see her power undermined by Trump, and Democrats are praying she could be next, though she's said she intends to run again.
Democrats are also hopeful that contentious GOP primaries could bolster their chances to hold Ossoff's seat in Georgia and turn Texas blue if MAGA darling Attorney General Ken Paxton ousts incumbent GOP Sen. John Cornyn as polling indicates he might.
"From nasty, expensive primaries to a string of embarrassing recruitment failures and a toxic agenda, Senate Republicans are falling apart at the seams," said Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee spokesperson Maeve Coyle.
But Democrats have their own crowded primaries to contend with. An ambitious field of three well-funded Democrats in Michigan is threatening to divert resources from defeating Republican Mike Rogers, a former congressman who narrowly lost a Senate race to Elissa Slotkin last year. The GOP quickly consolidated behind Rogers rather than risk a contested primary.
And Democrats are still hoping for other top recruits to enter races. In Maine, Schumer has yet to persuade Mills to get into the Senate race. Ditto for former Rep. Mary Peltola in Alaska, where she is also eyeing the gubernatorial contest after narrowly losing reelection to the House last year.
There are other hurdles for Democrats. They lack a clear leader, are struggling to raise money, and remain unpopular with voters after their resounding defeat in last year's election.
"The idea that Democrats, saddled with historically low approval ratings, will win in red states with candidates like Brown and Peltola -- who voters just rejected -- is absurd," said Joanna Rodriguez, a spokesperson for the National Republican Senatorial Committee.
But optimistic Democrats know that a single strong candidate -- perhaps a Cooper, Brown, Mills, Peltola -- can singlehandedly reshape a race. And maybe if they can get a few more of them, their path to control starts to get a little clearer.
Even without squinting so hard.
Sign Our PetitionThe current political landscape in the United States is characterized by an increasingly polarized electorate and a Senate that reflects this division. The Democrats' renewed optimism about flipping seats in the upcoming midterm elections, particularly in traditionally Republican strongholds like Texas, North Carolina, and Ohio, indicates a strategic pivot toward well-known candidates and a focus on appealing to diverse voter demographics. This shift underscores the historical context of political realignment and the importance of local leadership in addressing both economic and social issues that resonate with voters.
Historically, the Democratic Party has faced significant challenges in maintaining a foothold in states that have shifted to the right. The Rust Belt states, such as Ohio, have experienced significant demographic and economic changes over the last few decades—most notably the decline of manufacturing jobs and the subsequent rise of disillusionment with traditional political structures. Former Senator Sherrod Brown's candidacy is emblematic of a populist approach that emphasizes economic justice and worker rights. Brown's ability to keep races competitive in a state that has trended Republican highlights the potential for candidates who advocate for progressive policies that address the needs of working-class citizens. His message of economic populism could resonate with those who feel abandoned by a system that prioritizes corporate interests over the welfare of everyday people.
The recruitment of candidates like Roy Cooper reflects a strategic move by Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer to mitigate the risk of divisive primaries, a common pitfall in a party seeking to unify its base. Cooper's popularity as a governor—where he successfully governed in a politically divisive environment—coupled with his fundraising prowess, offers a glimmer of hope in North Carolina. This approach is a reminder of the importance of strong local leadership in advancing progressive agendas. Leadership that is relatable and directly connected to the community can inspire voter turnout, particularly among those historically disenfranchised or skeptical of the political process. Cooper’s emergence as a candidate is not just about winning a Senate seat but also about harnessing the collective power of voters who seek representation that reflects their experiences and struggles.
Moreover, the Democratic strategy of leaning on established candidates might be seen as a double-edged sword. While it may provide immediate electoral advantages, it also raises questions about generational change and the party’s ability to engage younger voters who feel increasingly alienated from traditional political structures. The Democratic base is yearning for a fresh perspective that not only addresses contemporary social justice issues—such as systemic racism, climate change, and income inequality—but also embodies the diverse, progressive values of the electorate. The challenge lies in balancing the need for experienced leadership with the imperative to cultivate new voices and ideas that can energize the party's grassroots movements.
As Democrats prepare for the midterms, they must remain vigilant in addressing the broader social struggles that define this moment in American history. Economic inequality, racial injustice, and climate change are not just political talking points; they are the realities facing millions of Americans. The party's success in flipping Senate seats will depend not just on the candidates they choose, but on their ability to articulate a vision that connects with the lived experiences of voters. Mobilizing voters around a platform that prioritizes social and economic justice is crucial, especially in a political environment where misinformation and divisive rhetoric are rampant.
In summary, the Democrats’ path to a potential Senate majority hinges on strategic candidate recruitment, a deep understanding of local issues, and a commitment to progressive values that resonate with a diverse electorate. As the landscape evolves, so too must the party’s strategies and messaging, ensuring that they not only seek electoral victories but also address the systemic issues that have led to widespread disillusionment and apathy. This midterm election cycle presents a pivotal opportunity for the Democratic Party to redefine its connection to the American people, emphasizing that governance can indeed be a force for good, aligned with the aspirations and needs of all citizens.
The upcoming midterm elections present a critical juncture for the Democratic Party, especially in their quest to regain a Senate majority. The political landscape is increasingly complex, with a mix of potential opportunities and entrenched challenges. While the Republicans seem favored to hold onto their Senate seats, the mere possibility of flipping key states like Texas, Alaska, and Iowa indicates that the Democrats are not without avenues for advancement. The recruitment of seasoned candidates, such as former Senator Sherrod Brown and former Governor Roy Cooper, could play a pivotal role in galvanizing support among voters who may feel disenchanted by politics as usual. However, this optimism must be tempered with a recognition of historical voter patterns and the complexity of American political identity.
Historically, midterm elections have often favored the party not holding the presidency, which raises an intriguing question about the potential for Democratic gains. The Republican Party, having solidified control over many state legislatures and governorships, has been adept at entrenching its power through gerrymandering and voter suppression tactics. For Democrats to gain a foothold, they must engage voters in meaningful ways that resonate beyond party affiliation. Campaigns need to deeply resonate with the everyday concerns of constituents, particularly in battleground states that have shifted politically over the past decade. Engaging with issues such as healthcare, climate change, and economic justice can provide a platform that unites voters under a progressive agenda.
Moreover, the strategy of courting established candidates may provide a temporary solution to the Democratic Party's internal struggles but could also risk alienating younger voters who are increasingly seeking transformational leadership. The generational divide within the party is palpable, as younger activists often express frustration with the status quo and demand a more urgent approach to issues like climate action and social equity. By balancing the inclusion of experienced candidates with the voices and needs of younger constituents, Democrats can forge a diverse coalition that addresses a wider array of concerns, thereby strengthening their electoral chances.
To encourage a more robust Democratic strategy, grassroots organizing must remain at the forefront. Voter mobilization efforts should focus on ensuring that those who historically feel disenfranchised are not only registered to vote but also equipped with the information needed to engage in the electoral process. This includes education on the significance of local elections, understanding the implications of policy decisions, and fostering a culture of civic participation. Organizing community forums, town halls, and initiatives aimed at young voters can facilitate conversations that empower individuals to see their votes as instruments of change rather than mere numbers in a political contest.
As Americans, particularly those who lean toward progressive ideologies, it is essential to engage in constructive dialogue with those holding opposing views. Rather than approaching discussions with a defensive stance, we can frame our arguments around shared values like fairness, opportunity, and community well-being. When addressing right-wing perspectives, we should emphasize the economic and social benefits of a more inclusive and equitable society. Highlighting the successes of progressive policies in states where they have been implemented can serve as compelling evidence to sway undecided voters and even those who may identify with conservative values.
In conclusion, the road to a potential Democratic Senate majority is fraught with challenges, yet it is also rich with opportunities for genuine engagement and transformation. By prioritizing grassroots activism, fostering diverse leadership, and focusing on the priorities of everyday Americans, Democrats can craft a narrative and strategy that resonates beyond partisan lines. This is not merely a political contest but a chance to shape the future of American democracy, ensuring that it reflects the values and aspirations of its citizens. The stakes are high, and the time for action is now.
Analyzing the current political landscape, especially in light of the upcoming midterms, provides an opportunity for engaged citizens to take meaningful action. As the Democrats strategize to flip key Senate seats and secure a majority, individuals can contribute to this effort in various ways. Here’s a detailed list of actions you can take to support Democratic candidates and initiatives:
### Personal Actions
1. **Educate Yourself and Others**: - Stay informed about the candidates running for Senate in your state and nationally. Understand their platforms, their histories, and the issues at stake. - Share this information within your community through discussions, social media, or community groups.
2. **Volunteer for Campaigns**: - Find local campaigns for candidates such as Sherrod Brown or Roy Cooper and offer your time. This could be canvassing, phone banking, or helping with events. - Websites like ActBlue can help you find campaigns in your area.
3. **Participate in Local Events**: - Attend town halls, rallies, or meet-and-greets with candidates. Engaging directly helps build community support and awareness.
### Specific Actions
1. **Sign and Promote Petitions**: - Look for petitions that push for electoral reform, voting rights protections, and campaign finance reform. Websites like Change.org often have relevant petitions. - For example, you can find petitions supporting the expansion of voting rights and campaign finance reform and share them on social media.
2. **Contact Decision Makers**: - Write to your local representatives to express support for Senate candidates or issues important to you. - **Who to Write**: - **Senator Sherrod Brown**: - Email: contact@brown.senate.gov - Mailing Address: 455 Russell Senate Office Building, Washington, DC 20510 - **Governor Roy Cooper**: - Email: governor.nc.gov/contact - Mailing Address: 20301 Mail Service Center, Raleigh, NC 27699-0301
3. **Engage in Fundraising**: - Contributing to candidates directly can aid in their campaign efforts. For example, you can donate to Sherrod Brown’s campaign at his official website or through ActBlue. - Organize or participate in fundraising events in your community.
4. **Promote Voter Registration**: - Help others register to vote, especially in swing states like North Carolina and Ohio. Share information on how to register online or through local organizations like the League of Women Voters.
5. **Leverage Social Media**: - Use platforms like Twitter, Facebook, or Instagram to share messages of support for candidates. Highlight their policies and achievements to educate your network. - Follow and engage with candidates' pages to amplify their messages.
6. **Contact Media Outlets**: - Write letters to the editor of your local newspapers in support of specific candidates or policy issues. - Share your perspective on why voting for candidates like Sherrod Brown or Roy Cooper can lead to positive change.
7. **Attend Local Democratic Party Meetings**: - Get involved with your local Democratic Party. Attend meetings to stay informed about local elections and volunteer opportunities.
8. **Advocate for Issues**: - If there are specific issues you care about, such as healthcare or climate change, reach out to organizations focused on these areas to see how you can support their advocacy efforts.
### What to Say
- When writing to representatives or engaging in conversations, express your support for their candidacy and outline why their policies resonate with you. - Emphasize the importance of voter turnout and the role it plays in shaping the future of the Senate and your community. - Advocate for policies that align with progressive values, stressing the need for change and the impact it has on everyday life.
By taking these steps, you can actively contribute to the political landscape and support efforts to secure a Senate majority. Engaging in these actions not only fosters community involvement but also amplifies the voices of those advocating for change.